GBPUSD SIGNAL 17-01-2023 : GBPUSD renews intraday low under 1.2200 on unimpressive UK employment report.


GBPUSD SIGNAL 17-01-2023 : GBPUSD renews intraday low under 1.2200 on unimpressive UK employment report.

  • GBP/USD takes offers to refresh intraday low, extends week-start pullback from one-month high.
  • UK Claimant Count Change eased to 19.7K in December, Unemployment Rate remains unchanged for three months to November.
  • US Dollar’s failure to track rebound in yields propel Cable prices despite negatives surrounding labor strike, inflation fears.
  • Second-tier US data, risk catalysts can entertain traders ahead of the key Wednesday.

GBPUSD prints a two-day losing streak as it renews its intraday low after the UK’s employment data during early Tuesday. That said, the Cable pair slid to 1.2169 before recovering to 1.2190 by the press time.

GBPUSD SIGNAL : The UK’s Office for National Statistics (ONS) released its monthly jobs report early Tuesday. Among the key data, the Claimant Count Change for December and the Unemployment Rate for three months to November gained major attention. That said, the Claimant Count Change came in as 19.7K versus 30.5K while the Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 3.7%.

Other than the mixed data, pessimism surrounding the UK’s labor strikes and downbeat testimony from Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey also weigh on the GBP/USD price. BoE’s Bailey testified against the Treasury Select Committee in London while stating that inflation looked set to fall markedly this year. BoE’s Bailey, however, cited growth fears emanating from workers’ strikes.

Elsewhere, the market’s skepticism about Chinese growth numbers joins the lack of major data/events, as well as fears of recession, to weigh on the risk profile. The same underpins the US Treasury yields’ rebound, as well as weighs on the S&P 500 Futures as it retreats from the one-month high. However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) fades the previous day’s bounce off the seven-month low.

GBPUSD SIGNAL : Two-thirds of private and public sector chief economists surveyed by the WEF expect a global recession this year, with some 18% considering it ‘extremely likely’ – more than twice as many as in the previous survey conducted in September 2022 reported Reuters.

Looking ahead, NY Empire State Manufacturing Index for January, expected -4.5 versus -11.2 prior, may entertain intraday traders during the return of full markets. However, major attention will be given to Wednesday’s UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the US Retail Sales for December.

Technical analysis

Although the GBP/USD pair’s ability to stay beyond the 100-day EMA level surrounding 1.1940 keeps buyers hopeful, together with the bullish MACD signals and firmer RSI, the upside momentum remains elusive unless crossing a six-week-old horizontal resistance near 1.2345.

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